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June 25 ChinaBroadly speaking, Asian markets retracted in May, shocked by rising oil prices and inflation concerns. In the aftermath of last month’s devastating earthquake in China, the Hang Seng was down 4.8% and A shares down 7%. However, fundamentals prevailed and managers were generally able to profit from both longs and shorts. Exports to US and Europe have eased, but domestic demand continues to rise. Despite the disastrous earthquake, China will still put in a 10 % GDP growth in 2008. Rebuilding will act as a stimulus while inflation is expected to fall as food prices moderate, allowing the authorities to end their recent monetary tightening campaign. This will keep demand for commodities firm. June 24 salle de marche的厕所salle de marche的厕所墙上贴了一张纸:"上完厕所请洗手!"厕所的门上贴了一张纸:"上完厕所请洗手!!"厕所的门背贴了一张纸:"上完厕所请洗手!!!" 可是那帮trader就是上完厕所不洗手就和客户亲切握手,深情拥抱...... June 20 巨大而隐蔽的陷阱谁要是由以下论点投资MEXICO,就死定了.
The US Dollar has weakened against almost every currency in the world except the Mexican Peso and the Middle Eastern currencies. Thus, an imported bushel of cotton (one could choose any good that Mexico grows or makes) from Mexico is less expensive from a US importer's perspective than a bushel of cotton from Europe, China, India and most other countries. 对这个问题,里层含义和全局观念很重要. June 17 market correction are just going too farBack in 2000, the equity risk premium was excessively low. That is, the valuations were exceedingly high. Groups of companies, all focusing on the same market, claimed that they could achieve a 30% market share. Since at least twenty companies were making the same claim, you knew mathematically that this was impossible. Such a result could be achieved by three companies but not twenty, yet all twenty were priced in a way that suggested that it would happen for all twenty. This was, by definition, a bubble. Mutually exclusive outcomes, expressed in stock valuations, were trading at levels that suggested that all the companies were going to be wildly successful. It was a period for much caution. Today, in our opinion, the situation is the mirror opposite. June 16 一个印度阿三管的FUNDJan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD 2008 (12.44) (8.66) (9.32) (2.02) (9.02) (35.63)多少有点了不起. 勇将就是不停地败,还自称为将.
June 15 You can't always get what you want.
amber 的死有点出乎我的意外,不过托她的福,house的第四季有了个理想的结局。像上次的Euphoria一样。这剧集偶尔也会有这种神来之笔。 amber的死多少有点生命致轻的感觉,euphoria那次就有点生命致重的意味。 也许只有将生命放在天平的另一端时。人才会真正用心思考,用心感叹。 献上 Iron & Wine的<Passing Afternoon> There are times that walk from you like some passing afternoon June 13 sell in May and Go awayThere is a seasonal deviation to most equity markets which is remembered by the mnemonic, "sell in May and go away". It seems to have worked again this year. The rally in most indices appears to have topped out late in the month and has now broken back below important support levels. The indices now seem headed back down again. We have certainly found that many of the longs have stopped rising, and quite quickly the short book seems to be paying off. June 12 Hack.June 11 荒唐的报告看到一份荒唐的报告,忍不住说几句
For the month of March, our offshore and two domestic funds declined by 6.XX%, 8.XX% and 6.XX%, respectively.(Yes and you should kill yourself) Over the same period, the S&P 500 Index and the NASDAQ Composite Index had respective returns of (0.43) % and 0.34%.(see, you are much much worse even than the index) Despite our year-to-date results,(you are saying We are losing money and that’s OK) the vehicle you are invested in is a hedge fund.(yes all the hedge fund should lose money) For us, shorting is a tool meant to be used,(yes if you are correctly short you will have a result very very positive) and possibly quite aggressively in the future,( come on, the chance is going, history never repeat) when we deem the returns on such action to be as compelling,(we should) or more compelling,(more true) than what we are able to find on the long side.(seems you loss worse at long side) Our levered long position is not a permanent condition.(everyone is deleveraging and you want more debt) It is, however, highly unlikely that it will be radically altered anytime soon. We act on the assumption that you have entrusted capital to us because we are likely to grow it at a satisfactory rate.(thanks to a mistake) In our opinion, the opportunity set for our funds has never been better. At the exact time investors should be giving us more capital they are contemplating taking it away.(that’s a good one) The institutional imperative has always created investor dysfunction. There in are the opportunities. We are sanguine about the near-term opportunities available to us.(all blablabla) June 06 Market Highlightsthemes:
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